[Tweeters] Re: 2014 first ten (predictions)

Christine Southwick clsouth at u.washington.edu
Thu Jan 2 07:53:59 PST 2014

Okay, so I decided to do my first 10 birds too. Since I drove up to Deception Pass from Shoreline, starting at about 0815, the last three were ones I don't usually see as first-of-year birds.

1. American Robin (AMRO)
2. American Crow (AMCR)
3. Spottted Towhee (SPTO)
4. Black-capped Chickadee (BCCH)
5. Bewick's Wren (BEWR)
6. Anna's Hummingbird (ANHU)
7. Chestnut-backed Chickadee (CBCH)
8. Glaoucous-winged Gull (GLGU)
9. Rock Pigeon (ROPI)
10.Red-tailed Hawk (RTHA) saw at least 15, plus one Rough-legged Hawk during the drive up to and back.

Also saw a number of Great Blue Herons, but NO Bald Eagles.

Cranberry Lake, at Bowman Bay was filled with Common Merganser and a few Hooded Merganser. No Black Oystercatchers on the West Beach. No Loons floating through Deception Pass proper.

Glorious, awe-inspiring views of snow-touched jagged mountains, above the low-lying fog banks. Good food at a restaurant in Mount Vernon, with my partner and a good friend, plus a little retail therapy (while wearing my binoculars for bird-watcher advertisement).

Great way to start the New Year.

May all you birds be identified, and healthy!

Christine Southwick
N Seattle/Shoreline
clsouthwick at q.com


On Wed, 1 Jan 2014, Pterodroma at aol.com wrote:

> Date: Wed, 1 Jan 2014 15:37:49 -0500 (EST)

> From: Pterodroma at aol.com

> To: tweeters at u.washington.edu

> Subject: [Tweeters] Re: 2014 first ten (predictions)


> And the winners are.....


> OH NO!!!  A major upset with a total out of the literal wee hour 'black', an unforeseen *wild card* to unseat the long standing #1

> champion Anna's Hummingbird of so many years in a row.  Geese..., Cackling Geese, CACKLERS!  3:04am, I'm sitting out on the back porch

> bathed in the warm red and blue holiday lights around the trim there, stone dead silent, black and foggy, and I wasn't even out there

> with birds really on my mind at all, owls maybe, but a real long shot.  Then, suddenly busting up the utter silence and calm, a noisy

> bunch of Cackling Geese flying over, maybe 2, 3, 4 dozen, who knows.  Coming from the north, maybe from Marymoor and heading south,

> and gone as quickly as they came.  Had I gone back inside minute earlier, I would have missed them altogether and would have never known

> the difference, and January 1 would have proceeded nearer to traditional normal.  This goose 'upset' I thought was akin to the

> Seahawks being upset by the worst team ever in the NFL in the play offs not to mention the Super Bowl!  These night time Cacklers could

> have at least waited a day or two, or next week, next month, or next Fall for that matter.  Good thing there wasn't any money riding on

> any of this.


> I didn't do so well this year as last, but predicting the first ten species usually isn't too difficult, but in sequential order, 1 thru

> 10 isn't exactly a science.  So here's the breakdown, 1 thru 11, #2 thru #11 being the first ten in the more traditional time window

> (0730-0830) should or could the geese be disqualified or undone.  But a tick is a tick, so I guess the geese stand even if the

> circumstance was kind of freaky.


> #1 -- Cackling Goose (unseeded) at 0304hrs

> #2 -- Anna's Hummingbird (seeded #1) at 0737 and right on schedule

> #3 -- Song Sparrow (seeded #2) at 0746

> #4 -- Spotted Towhee (seeded #3) at 0747

> #5 -- Dark-eyed Junco (seeded #5) at 0749

> #6 -- American Crow (seeded #4) at 0754

> #7 -- Bewick's Wren (unseeded) at 0755

> #8 -- Northern Flicker (seeded #6) at 0756

> #9 -- Chestnut-backed Chickadee (seeded #9) at 0804

> #10 -- Red-breasted Nuthatch (seeded #7) at 0813

> #11 -- Common Raven (unseeded) -- at 0816


> Others 'predicted and seeded' yesterday (Dec 31) but didn't show in time to make the 2014 first ten list, Ruby-crowned Kinglet (seeded

> #8) and Black-capped Chickadee (seeded #10). 


> Richard Rowlett

> Bellevue (Eastgate), WA



> --------------------------------------------- 

> In a message dated 12/31/2013 10:14:40 A.M. Pacific Standard Time, Pterodroma at aol.com writes:

> Hi Tweets -- It's that time again on the calendar.  That silly little game I play during the first hour or so of every new

> year, trying to predict in correct sequential order the first ten birds that show up in the yard & feeders.  You might want

> to play your own version or whatever.  I've been doing dry runs for the past four early mornings and usually amass the first

> ten within the first hour of daylight (0730-0830hrs).


> Here's my 2014 predictions:


> #1 -- Anna's Hummingbird

> #2 -- Song Sparrow

> #3 -- Spotted Towhee

> #4 -- American Crow

> #5 -- Dark-eyed Junco

> #6 -- Northern Flicker

> #7 -- Red-breasted Nuthatch

> #8 -- Ruby-crowned Kinglet

> #9 -- Chestnut-backed Chickadee

> #10 -- Black-capped Chickadee


> I had a couple unexpected 'wild cards' during the past 4-days 'dry runs' that could muck things up.  Nice, but..., not counting on

> either.  Common Raven came in #5 of Dec 28, and Merlin came in #6 on Dec 29.


> For the first year ever, Varied Thrush does not make my first ten yard prediction list.  Could happen, but the odds are much lower

> than a more typical winter season.  Varied Thrushes just aren't around much so far this winter, at least here in my yard and

> neighborhood, or even in the Lake Hills Greenbelt for that matter.  I suspect that fact and the seeming scarcity of Varied

> Thrushes in the lowlands around here may be due to the 'snow drought' in the Cascade foothills and mountains and they are just

> staying up there for now.


> I will report tomorrow once the first ten results are in.  Have a Happy birding New Year!


> Richard Rowlett

> Bellevue (Eastgate), WA




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