<html><head><meta http-equiv="content-type" content="text/html; charset=utf-8"></head><body dir="auto">Hi All,<div>Here’s a cool talk coming up on May 22!</div><div><div dir="ltr"><br></div><div dir="ltr">Griff</div><div dir="ltr"><br></div><div dir="ltr">Begin forwarded message:</div><div dir="ltr"><br></div><blockquote type="cite"><div dir="ltr"><b>From:</b> "P. Joshua Griffin" <pjgriff@uw.edu><br><b>Date:</b> May 7, 2024 at 11:49:06 AM PDT<br><b>To:</b> Erendira Aceves <acevesb@uw.edu><br><b>Subject:</b> <b>Re: [Smea-all] Seminar: Climate risk in food production systems</b><br><br></div></blockquote><blockquote type="cite"><div dir="ltr"><meta http-equiv="content-type" content="text/html; charset=utf-8">Cool!<div><br></div><div>I’ll forward to PCC. </div><div><br></div><div>You should send to safs too </div><div><br><div><div dir="ltr"><span style="background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0);">P. Joshua Griffin, Ph.D., M.Div<br>Assistant Professor <br>School of Marine and Environmental Affairs and<br>Department of American Indian Studies<br>University of Washington, Seattle<br><span dir="ltr">pjgriff@uw.edu</span> </span></div><div dir="ltr"><br><blockquote type="cite">On May 7, 2024, at 11:40 AM, Erendira Aceves via Smea-all <smea-all@u.washington.edu> wrote:<br><br></blockquote></div><blockquote type="cite"><div dir="ltr"><div dir="ltr"><div dir="ltr"><font color="#000000"><span style="font-family:arial,sans-serif">We
are excited to invite you to a lunch seminar discussing climate risk in food production
systems. The seminar will be held on </span><b style="font-family:arial,sans-serif">May 22nd at 12PM in FSH 203, </b><span style="font-family:arial,sans-serif">featuring</span><span style="font-family:arial,sans-serif"> two esteemed
speakers - <b>Claudia Kelsall and Steve Miller</b>. Please find their bios and abstracts below.</span></font><br></div><div dir="ltr"><div class="gmail_quote"><div dir="ltr">
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in"><font face="arial, sans-serif" color="#000000"> </font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in"><font face="arial, sans-serif" color="#000000">We
will provide pizza, but if you prefer to bring your own food, feel free to
do so. Additionally, if you are interested in meeting with either of the
speakers individually, we have set up a<a href="https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1b8l1IY8dJ5S7AWTyqahEq91ze6zTTqCxV2AEEH2T694/edit?usp=sharing__;!!K-Hz7m0Vt54!lGawm7wNvnhAXHQ39XsSfpGDVdb9v3rTcQ6uKizvmDbNW2h0imhEWUKuXA6bwySzFHPrILte-xIyu7j72WQX1ai7$" target="_blank"> sign-up sheet</a> where you can schedule a
meeting time. </font></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in"><font face="arial, sans-serif" color="#000000"><br></font></p><div><Screen Shot 2024-05-06 at 4.45.16 PM.png></div><p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align:center;margin:0in"><br></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in"><font face="arial, sans-serif" color="#000000"><b>Dr Steve Miller:</b> Assistant professor in the Department of Environmental Studies at the University of Colorado Boulder using tools from economics and computer science to study impacts of both environmental disturbances and policies. His research spans fisheries, agriculture, conservation and methods. A recent focus includes how we measure exposure to a changing climate and how those choices influence our estimates of climate damages. <a href="https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://stevejmiller.com/__;!!K-Hz7m0Vt54!lGawm7wNvnhAXHQ39XsSfpGDVdb9v3rTcQ6uKizvmDbNW2h0imhEWUKuXA6bwySzFHPrILte-xIyu7j72Tib-K2h$" target="_blank">Steve's webpage</a>.<b><br></b></font></p><blockquote style="margin:0px 0px 0px 40px;border:none;padding:0px"><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in"><font face="arial, sans-serif" color="#000000"><b>Abstract: </b>To project damages from climate change, researchers often pair empirical weather-damage relationships with high-resolution projections of future weather. Weather projections vary across scenarios, climate models, and how climate model output is downscaled to impact-relevant resolutions, but economic damage projections typically employ weather projections derived from a single downscaling approach. We examine how the choice of downscaling approach affects future damage projections across the globe, leveraging the historical relationship between weather and subnational output. Different downscaling approaches can cause location-specific damage projections to vary by as much as 12% of gross regional product, in some locations surpassing uncertainty stemming from climate models and emissions scenarios. These results suggest applied researchers should employ multiple downscaled datasets when projecting climate impacts.</font></p></blockquote><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in"><b><font color="#000000"><br></font></b></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in"><b><font color="#000000"><br></font></b></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in"><font color="#000000"><b>Claudia Kelsall: </b>I'm a 4th year PhD student in economics at the University of Leipzig and Institut Agro, Monpellier under joint supervision of Martin Quaas (Leipzig) and Nicolas Quérou (Montpellier). My thesis is titled `Changing risks and mobile common pool resources' and focuses on the impact of risk and risk aversion in the management of spatially connected renewable resources. Specifically, I'm interested in how we can leverage risk aversion to induce cooperation between resource managers through endogenous sharing mechanisms. Whilst I mainly work on applied theory, my final thesis chapter aims to apply this theory to fishing cooperatives in Mexico.<br></font></p>
<blockquote style="margin:0px 0px 0px 40px;border:none;padding:0px"><div><font color="#000000"><b>Abstract: </b>Spatially connected resources may lead to a negative spatial externality or 'race to extract' even when property rights are well defined. We study the potential for income sharing to internalize this externality in the extraction of a risky natural resource. Whilst previous literature has focused on income sharing with equal pay-offs from the income pool, it has been shown that these mechanisms break down when 1) cooperation is endogenous and 2) there are heterogeneities between resource areas. To overcome this, we develop a game theoretic model of endogenous income sharing where pay-offs from the pool can depend on relative contribution and relative effort. These rules leverage the fact that risk averse managers will contribute to a pool to spread risk. Spreading risk provides insurance to the resource managers and, as a co-benefit, internalizes the spatial externality. We ask whether there exists a pay-off rule to achieve efficient resource extraction and seek to understand the resource characteristics that would benefit most from income pooling by studying the interaction between spatial characteristics of the resource and the demand for insurance. When dispersal is uneven and there are no costs associated with sharing income, we define a proportional contribution rule depending on the proportion of income shared that leads to full cooperation. When contributions are costly, the proportional rule leads to partial cooperation and inefficient management. However, we prove that so long as costs are not prohibitively high, a different pay-off rule exists such that partial cooperation can lead to efficient management. Finally, we find that when patch dispersal is even, managers are always indifferent to contributing to a pool. This is because dispersal spreads risk in a similar way to income sharing acting as `natural insurance'. </font></div></blockquote><div><font color="#000000"><br></font></div>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin:0in"><font face="arial, sans-serif" color="#000000">I’m
looking forward to seeing you there!</font></p><br clear="all"><div>Ere</div><span class="gmail_signature_prefix">-- </span><br><div dir="ltr" class="gmail_signature"><div dir="ltr"><font color="#999999">Eréndira Aceves Bueno, PhD (</font><span style="color:rgb(153,153,153)">she/her)</span><div><font color="#999999">Assistant Professor</font></div><div><font color="#999999">School of Marine and Environmental Affairs, University of Washington</font></div></div></div></div></div><div dir="ltr" class="gmail_signature"><div dir="ltr"><div><div><br></div></div></div></div></div>
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